Over the next few decades, Europe’s Muslim population is expected to continue growing. A study estimates that by 2050 the Muslim population could grow to 58 million, or 11 % of the total European population, compared to 5 % today.
The study conducted by Pew research, is based on census and immigration data from 30 countries. It created three scenarios. In the first scenario, Muslim immigration into Europe would come to a complete halt. Even then, the Muslim population would rise to 7.4 %. This is because Muslims, on average, are 13 years younger than Europeans and have a higher birth rate.
On the other side, a high migration scenario is based on the flow of refugees from 2015- 2016 and expects it to continue. If this happens, the total Muslim population in Europe will rise to 75 million, about 14% of the total population.
According to the Pew report, not all countries will be affected evenly by future Muslim immigration. Germany and Sweden will see the biggest increases because these two countries accepted most asylum seekers during the 2015-2016 refugee crisis.
At the moment, Germany (5 million) and France (5.7 Million) have the largest Muslim populations in Europe.
The recently published study is likely to cause more debate on immigration into Europe. It cites instability in the Middle East and Northern Africa as well as the ongoing conflict in Syria as the main factors that drive people to European countries. In the last 6 years seeking asylum in conflict regions was the most important motive for Muslims coming to Europe. Only few came to Europe for employment or education.
- according to = as reported by …
- affect = here: changed by the situation
- asylum seeker = person who leaves their country because they are in danger, mostly for political reasons, and asks another country to let them live there
- birthrate = the number of births for every 1,000 people in a year
- census = official counting of a country’s population
- cite = mention
- compared = to look at two things in a similar way
- conduct = carry out
- data = information
- debate = discussion
- decade = ten years
- employment = job, work
- factor = reason
- flow = steady movement of people
- estimate = to calculate how big something will be based on the information that you have
- halt = stop
- immigration = when you go to another country and plan to live there permanently
- increase = to go up
- instability = when the situation in a country is not stable because of war or other conflicts
- is based on = use something as the starting point for your research
- is expected to = will probably
- motive = reason
- ongoing conflict = here: conflict or war that is continuing
- refugee = people who have to leave their home because of war or a natural disaster
- rise = go up
- scenario = situation that could possibly happen
- study = piece of work that is done to find out more about a subject